The Index System of rating horses competing
at the distance of six furlongs is the basis for all the figures
produced at NJ THORONET. We examine only six furlong races when
we make our figures and examine the performance of horses coming
from these races in subsequent starts. By breaking down each
six furlong race into three, two furlong splits, we are able to
analyze both speed and pace in combination for a week, a day,
a race and for an individual horse within a race. The Moving
Cumulative Average (MCA) is the standard used to create the Daily
Variant, Class Pars, Index Races (races run below the MCA at all
points) and Index Horses (horses which have run below the MCA
at all points.)
Approximately 23% - 26% of all six furlong
races qualify as Index Races. From these Index Races we identify
certain horses who run favorable patterns - terming them "Index
Horses." When a horse has run a favorable pattern in an
Index Race, it enters a four race "window of opportunity."
By following certain strategic maneuvers associated with the
various running patterns (class and distance manipulations), the
horse's chances for a successful performance within the four race
window of opportunity are greatly enhanced.
Data on Six Furlong races will be presented in the following format:
Date Race Conditions Tot +/- CP Index
05/24 01 3U5 2 +2
Date, Race and Conditions are self explanatory.
Tot refers to the race rating, in this case "2". +/-
CP indicates if the race was above or below the par for the class
of race, in this case +2 indicates that the race was run 2 points
slower than class par. If a "Y" appears under
"Index", then the race was determined to be an Index
Race, one which all points were run under the MCA.