The 2nd Ernest Icecube Law was published by Eiswürfel (requires basic knowledge in German to understand the original paper) for the first time ever. It describes the probability (in percent) to pick up a girl in a bar. The author finds the chance of getting the girl in eq. 1:

A-nF-(P/100)=X%                     (1)

with:

• A   Age
• nF  Number of female friends with her
• P    Price of her dress

Although it is called the 2nd Ernest Icecube Law, it is not more than an approximation. Some very important factors are missing. The so called Eigenvalue E is neither considered nor is the Porsche factor Pf. The Eigenvalue includes selfconfidence S, eyecolor and haircolor in form of the factor B and the dimensionless Nerdnumber N (the usual range of the Nerdnumber is about 5 to 73 with the exception of Bill Gates as Supernerd with N=86). The Porsche factor depends on your bank account or your credit limit, respectively. It is:

In literature there is no common agreement about the value B untill today. Here, we stick to the most used value as given in table 1:

*is considerably higher at an age over 37

An average student (not an engineering student, Nerdnumber N is too high in that case) with a resonable N of 15 and an okay-look with brown hair and hazel eyes (B=11) has usually an average selfconfidence S=34, thus the Eigenvalue E can be calculated as:

The selfconfidence is a critical factor by itself, of course. In general it is between 12 and 57, depending on looks, former success, drugs, etc. An inofficial study by the University of Wichita, Kansas, has shown that S is between 32 and 36 in 98 % of all cases. A significant exception is found at the bodybuilding group, here S increases up to 63, although the X values of particular this group is unusual low due to the negative sideeffects of steroids (that girls are aware of).

Furthermore, Icecubes law does not take the number of accompanying guys nG into account. A big mistake, sometimes even a very painful one. In this study nG is considered in the power of 8. We are looking now at a more complex equation 4

The Porsche factor can be found in table 2

For the average student, mentioned above, with the assumption of a 25 year old girl without male company, but with 2 of her female friends, all wearing cheap (150$) JCPenny's dresses, a Pf of 0 and an Eigenvalue of 3 (eq. 3) is the chance according to eg. 4:

The result seems to be very low, but even without taken the slut-factor s into account it is still very resonable, probably too high actually. A widespreaded field experiment will be started as soon as the stupid author quits spending the nights in front of his computer (that is Nerdnumber 7000, by the way).

If you want to know about your chances, you might check out the one and only Icecube-Calculator.