Last week and Labour are Loosing Things are not going to well for Labour. They are under attack nationally for Section 28 and Dewars leadership and the funding of the new parliament building. Whilst locally there are cuts in council services and increases in water and council taxes. This put with the fact that at the weekend there was a chance to listen to Tony at the party conference, it meant there was no activity of the party on Sat in the town. Only a couple of students and a man with a few balloons. Its not the activities of a slick campaign machine. As for Millar, she managed to launch feet first into water charges and section 28 on 'Platform' Hustings special - the two issues best to be avoided. Although the Lib Dem candidate received some of the strongest criticism for the decisions over Tuition fees, and the Conservatives over the stance on Section 28 (they still feel they carry public opinion on this, so it was not a foreseeable problem for them, but heckled he was). Millar also had the embarrassment of forgetting the second great thing Labour had done for Ayr (the audience never knew it to start with). It all it bad new for Labour. Polls this weekend in Scotland on Sunday, as well as the daily record out them in Third place, or at least NOT winning. The SNP gain the most from this, but although there is a good candidate, academic opinion is that he is still likely to loos but a second place would still be a good result - as I say that's academic opinion. From signs on the street, the SNP are trying very hard, and although it would be an amazing victory, they could just pull it off. Blair already feels that the party cannot be judged on by-elections, early damage limitation I feel Over on the web-front side, the SNP are claiming massive support for their site. The Tories site has also developed and the Lib Dems have, at last, put their leaflet on it. The SSP has re-launched, but labour.. well try typing Rita or Ayr and you get 'No Results' - how true. So finally who will win. Labour it's not, Lib Dems it's not. For the SSp a fourth place is good. The problem is who will be first. If Tory hold their vote, they could win. The SNP need a lot. Yet there is hope. All opinion polls show that there is anything between30-50% undecided, and more importantly it's undecided Labour voters are key. If they do vote Labour, then Labour will win. Yet this is unlikely. If they are disenchanted then hey have three options. 1- Vote SSP, Green, etc and hence the Tories will win. More likely are the following 2- Stay at home (a low turnout favours the Tories) or 3- vote SNP. It they do the third, it IS possible that there could be a SNP win. So watch out for turnout. A Tory revival is unlikely, winning by default only, a final swing and SNP victory is in sight. PREDICTION: Close to call (but would say, if only to buck the trend of commentaries, a narrow SNP win). Watch election results live on the BBC from 11.55 on BBC1, Thursday Full results and analysis will be here on (late) Friday